Thursday 2 February 2012

On the Fate of the Province: It's Time for the BC Conservatives

My last post I looked at the likelihood, in Quebec and Alberta, of major political shake-ups, both of which are likely to benefit new conservative parties. In BC, while the case is less clear, it seems there is a real possibility of this too.

I have been severely unimpressed with the performance of the BC Liberals as of late. This was initiated by their handling of the HST which was upsetting in two key ways. Firstly, I felt that they were extremely dishonest in the election about their intentions regarding the HST. Their actions in instituting it without citizen input or a democratic mandate further aggravated me and a great number of British Columbians. Secondly, I feel it was (and continues to be) clearly and undeniably the best economic policy for British Columbia and the country. They absolutely screwed it up. The fact of the matter is that the majority of British Columbians support free-market policy and the HST has broad support from the center-right but because the Liberals were, essentially, undemocratic about instating it we voted it down in the referendum. Now the province is worst of because of this and the fault lies squarely with the Liberals.

After years of ardent support for BC Liberal party I have chosen to give the BC Conservatives my full support. To those of you outside of the province this may seem un-extraordinary or at least to be expected from an ideologically conservative individual but in BC, for the past 20 years, the BC Liberals have been quite a different beast than Liberals federally or in any other province for that matter. The BC Liberals here are an alliance of free-market thinkers, practically of political conservatives and liberals, who allied in order to prevent destructive NDP governments from taking shape. The BC Conservatives, however, have been all but dormant and usually run very few candidates.

Under Gordon Campbell the BC Liberals were, for all intents and purposes, a conservative government that allowed --mainly as an extended olive branch-- a select few federal Liberals to join the ranks of cabinet. This fundamentally changed with Christy Clark as leader of the party and premier. She is a federal Liberal and her liberal policies are evident.

Ultimately, however, British Columbia is polarized along the lines of free-market proponents and command economy proponents (represented by the unions and NDP) and so many are comfortable voting for the BC Liberals so long as they prevent the NDP from gaining power. It allows the BC Liberals to get away with a lot: including purely undemocratic decision making (like with the HST).

The BC Conservatives essentially share my position on the HST, one which I feel the majority of British Columbians share too. The party is also a comfortable fit with the free-market consensus of the center-right in this province. They have a great leader in John Cummins who served as an invaluable Member of Parliament (as a Reformer, Canadian Alliance member, and Conservative) for nearly twenty years. I think it's time British Columbians move forward and institute some reform on our tired political landscape. Let's give the BC Conservatives a chance at governing this province. The bi-polar politics of this province have most of us feeling hostage to the whims of the BC Liberals who are increasingly unrepresentative of our opinions.

Indeed this requires a great deal of faith. The hurdles to overcome are twofold. Firstly the BC Conservatives need to establish themselves as a political force of the center-right that is here to stay. This will cause the BC Liberals to loose support from a large part of their base and cause the unraveling of the surprisingly strong (but increasingly uneasy) alliance that was created over twenty years ago. Secondly, they need to convince the mainstream voter (who doesn't read political blogs or isn't as in tune to their own political character) that they are capable of forming a stable government that will adhere to the consensus of the center-right of the province.

I think the BC Conservatives have huge potential and with huge potential comes the chance for great disappointment. I'm tired of the BC Liberals and I want something different. I hope that the BC Conservatives can replace them because voters who choose to vote for them will be risking a lot in that it may just allow the NDP to win the next election. In fact, many British Columbians likely wont change their allegiance until it becomes very clear that the Conservatives are in the better position to beat the NDP than the Liberals. This will take time. I have enough faith in the BC Conservatives at this point to park my allegiance with them and hope they can form government after the election in 2013...the health of our province depends on it.

9 comments:

  1. I've mentioned this to people on here along time ago. they kept saying there was no Vialble alternative I said why not check out the BC Conservatives. and seems now people are really starting to check them out considering there showing up on the polls now.

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  2. I too have made the choice to withdraw support for the BC Liberals. If they were to dump Clark and make a shift to conservative policies I could possibly support the BC Liberals again but I see very little chance of that happening.

    BC Conservatives it is.

    As a side note, please change your font. It is an eyesore.

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  3. Welcome to the Blogging Tories! Solid post, but I'm not a fan of your chosen font. It is difficult to read.

    It says something that many in the BC Liberal Party want to change the name. If the Liberal brand weren't tarnished enough nationally, they are mortally wounded here in BC. The Libs are almost completely dependent on right wing voters, which is why it was so stupid of them to pick an actual left winger to lead the party. Sure, if the BC Conservatives did not exist, then fine they could trap their right flank by virtue of no alternative. Having an alternative, fledgling though it may be, seals the fate of the BC Liberals, even if John Cummins never becomes Premier.

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  4. PS: My blog has no word verification, and I get virtually no spam. It is completely unecessary.

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  5. Thanks guys changed the font! I really hope Cummins becomes premiere because I don't know if I'll be able to stand living in a province run by the NDP. I'm not entirely sure on a lot of the design elements, what does the reference to word verification mean? How do I change that?

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  6. Cummins has no chance of becoming Premier,but he MIGHT,if he gets some good centrist candidates, form the Opposition,but he may have been hijacked by the social conservative wing of the Party,witness the Party's President.

    I HOPE the BC Conservative Party is busy behind the scenes enlisting good candidates to run in each Riding,but I have to wonder. I live in one of the safest C/conservative Ridings in the Province,and know members of the BCCP,but haven't heard a whisper about who might be a possible candidate.

    We have an election in 18 months at the latest but the Conservatives certainly haven't done anything to capture the hearts and minds of the voters. The only publicity I can remember is Cummins question about the cause of homosexuality, PC sacred territory he should have known better than to even enter.

    I want the Liberals OUT,but there is no way in hell I'll ever vote NDP. Conservative,Independent, CHP,depending on the candidate,but my memory is too long to ever want to see that communist gang in power here again.

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  7. I definitely hear you on all of the above. I'm really holding out hope on the centrist aspect too. It was disheartening reading about the same-sex marriage and abortion thing considering that it's neither here nor there: it's not provincial jurisdiction so why even touch it. I hope the Conservatives can get serious because I don't have time for a party that's simply set on opposition...not when the NDP is going to be the benefactor.

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  8. The sad truth is that a incredibly solid 40% or more likely even 43% of BC voters will vote NDP. It will not take much of a vote split to propel the dippers into power again. It happened in '72 and again in 1996. Remember the lost decade of the latter 90's.

    The revived BC Conservative party will only weaken the BC Liberal/Conservative coalition enough to lose the next election to the NDP. I certainly am no fan of the Christy Clark/Federal Liberal/Mark Marissen/Liberals their cohorts/CKNW but do the math folks. The ONLY way it will work is if there is yet another coalition between conservatives and liberals.

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  9. The BC Liberal/"conservative" coalition is already dead. It's done. The Liberals may be able to revive themselves after this election but that's neither here nor there...right now we face the likelihood, as you say, of an NDP government. The BC Conservatives, however, are poised to move into the void that has been left by the BC Liberals. While NDP support in the province does seem incredibly solid I think those levels were because the alternative, the BC Liberals, had acquired a great deal of political baggage and opposition through it's record. Voter allegiances become very "solid" in a bi-polar political atmosphere. With the BC Conservatives seen as a "new" option, presenting itself in opposition to both of the other parties, they have the opportunity to upset traditional political allegiances. Therefore, I feel if they present themselves in the right way they could take support away from the NDP as well, as they already have, from the Liberals. The NDP won in the 90s because the Liberals weren't quick enough to become a big-tent party of the center-right. The Conservatives have, no doubt, taken note. We can't afford another decade of NDP destruction. Those who understand this need to coalesce around the BC Conservatives.

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